DSA Endorsement & Primary Seat Dynamics Map

Interactive electoral flow model analyzing Sen. Fetterman's critique vs. Sen. Sanders' progressive mobilization thesis in US primaries and general elections.

District Presets

Simulation Variables

R+2
42%
+8%
74%
12%

Primary to General Voter Flow Diagram

Electoral Outcomes & Theory Analysis

Primary Winner
Moderate Dem
Margin: +16.0%
General Outcome
Loss (R +3.2%)
Failed Flip
Coalition Shift
-6.0% Net
Turnout vs Dropoff
3rd Party DSA Impact
0.0% Drain
No Splinter

Fetterman Risk Hypothesis

In swing districts, installing progressive/DSA primary winners leads to moderate drop-off that outweighs progressive turnout expansion, reducing general flip probability.

Sanders Turnout Hypothesis

Mobilizing core progressive enthusiasm expands the electorate, bringing non-voters to the polls to overcome suburban swing voter slippage.

DSA Endorsement Dynamics Engine
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