Critical Infrastructure Grid & Strike Status
Mutual Strike Cessation Accord
Halts targeted missile and drone strikes on refineries and electrical hubs
Sector Protection Status (Click to toggle targeted immunity):
Transit Pipelines
IMMUNE
Druzhba crude pipeline & regional pumping stations
Export Terminals
IMMUNE
Baltic & Black Sea maritime crude loading berths
Refineries
IMMUNE
Volga, Ryazan, Kremenchuk downstream complexes
Substations
IMMUNE
750kV autotransformers and thermal plant feeds
Market Vulnerability Sliders
Real-Time Market Equilibrium & Decay Curve
Calculated Just Now
Adjusted Brent Price
$65.50
-$8.70 discount
Computed Risk Premium
$3.80
-69.6% war-risk
Infra Protection Score
88.5
High Resilience
Supply Stability Index
91.2
Stabilized Flow
Forward 30-Day Brent Risk Curve Projection
D3.js Market Surface
Pre-Ceasefire Trajectory
Ceasefire Realized Settlement
Projected Risk Premium Band
Mutual Cessation Defuses Refining Risk Premium
STATUS: STABILIZED
Following Trump’s announcement of Ukrainian and Russian assent to halt infrastructure strikes, oil markets are pricing out approximately $8.70/bbl of war risk. Export terminal throughput in Novorossiysk and Primorsk remains protected, shielding European maritime flows.
Refining & Distillate Margin Sensitivity
Crude-to-Product Spread
Diesel crack spreads soften as Russian western refinery turnaround and Ukrainian domestic processing risks normalize to baseline seasonal levels.