Equity Perpetual Futures Simulator

Following filings by Kalshi and Coinbase for US stock-linked perpetual futures, this workbench models 8-hour funding rates, leverage liquidation envelopes, dividend cash drag, and basis carry arbitrage across single-stock equity perps.

PRESETS:
EST. LIQUIDATION -15.8%
$109.47
Buffer: $20.53 drop
NOTIONAL SIZE
$50,000
384.62 Shares Eq.
FUNDING CASH FLOW
-$735.00
38.3% APR Long Cost
TRADITIONAL MARGIN CARRY
-$130.41
Perp is 5.6x costlier
Position Payoff & Carry Curve
Dynamic price vs PnL factoring cumulative funding payments & liquidation zone
Execution Instrument Required Collateral Leverage Cap Financing / Carry Mechanism Holding Cost (14d) Ex-Dividend Impact
Ready. Perpetual simulation updated for 14-day horizon.

1. The 8-Hour Funding Rate Anchor

Unlike CME index futures which expire quarterly, perpetuals never expire. To prevent the contract price ($P_{perp}$) from decoupling from the underlying cash stock ($P_{spot}$), traders make periodic funding payments (usually every 8 hours). When perps trade at a premium, longs pay shorts; at a discount, shorts pay longs.

2. Equity Peculiarities: Dividends & Corporate Actions

Unlike crypto assets, equities issue regular quarterly dividends that cause overnight spot price drops on ex-dates. Perpetual contracts must either execute synthetic balance adjustments or let the funding rate naturally shift deeply negative ahead of ex-dividend dates to prevent arbitrage exploitation.

3. Cash & Carry Basis Arbitrage

If an equity perpetual carries a persistent positive funding rate, market makers can buy spot shares (hedged delta-neutral) and short the perpetual contract. They earn the 8-hour funding cash stream minus prime broker borrow rates, minting risk-free synthetic yield.

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