Strategic Energy System & Policy Trade-Off Simulator (2025–2050)
PRESETS:
AI Annual Power Load
131.4 TWh
~4.7% of total EU grid
Cum. Datacenter Emissions
90.6 Mt CO₂
Trajectory through 2030
Clean Grid Cannibalization
18.2%
Renewables redirected to AI
Climate Target Alignment
AT RISK
Gaps in grid decarbonization
⚙️ Simulation Parameters
15.0 GW
Target active AI compute power buildout across EU by target year.
1.25
Total facility energy / IT equipment energy. Lower is more efficient.
4.5 %/yr
Annual reduction speed in EU grid carbon intensity.
230 g/kWh
Baseline EU average power grid emissions intensity (g CO2/kWh).
2030
Benchmark horizon for evaluation (2026-2050).
📈 AI Energy Consumption & Emissions Trajectory (2025–2050)
⚖️ Pareto Frontier: AI Compute vs. Carbon Reduction
🗺️ Regional EU Grid Stress & Carbon Footprint
Region
Cluster
Avg Intensity
Grid Stress
🔍 Dynamic Policy Trade-Off Evaluation
Baseline vs Simulated TWh: +87.6 TWh/yr addition
Decarbonization Friction: High Friction (Requires +3.2 GW clean grid/yr)
Strategic Alignment: Conflict: AI expansion exceeds EU Green Deal budget
Under 15.0 GW capacity with 4.5% decarb, compute energy demand absorbs renewable capacity faster than grid additions, shifting net neutral compliance beyond 2038.