Annual GDP Haircut
-2.14%
Est. Loss: €78.3 Bn
Labor Hours Lost
412.5M
WBGT >31°C outdoor drop
Thermal Curtailment
14.2 GW
River cooling limits / derating
Peak Grid Margin
3.8%
Reserve buffer under AC load
Sovereign Spread Shock
+42 bps
10Y BTP/Bonos climate risk delta
Transmission Channel Shock Matrix
Macro Impact Distribution (€Bn)
GDP Sensitivity vs. Temp Anomaly (°C)
Operating: +3.5°C @ 28d
Systemic Exposure Disaggregation
Southern Europe Baseline GDP: €3,650 Bn
| Shock Channel | Physical Mechanism | Physical Metric | GDP Impact (%) | Economic Repricing (€Bn) |
|---|