Eurovision Host Conflict Odds Simulator

EBU Conflict Rule
Scenarios:

Contestant Matrix

Normalized: 100%

Adjust raw song win probability and toggle war state to model market host disqualification decoupling.

D3 Probability Flow & Host Reallocation Graph

Live Flow Visualization
Disqualified Song Winner
Ukraine
Reallocated Top Venue
United Kingdom
Max Host Market Delta
+25.3%

Prediction Market Contract Odds Table

Country Status Song Win Prob Actual Host Prob Market Delta
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