Full 51-Lap Stint Matrix & Undercut Delta Analysis
Estimated Total Race Time: 1h 33m 42.1s
Phase
Laps
Car 1 Compound
Rival Compound
Laptime Pace
Net Stint Loss
Pit Delta Benefit
Strategic Verdict
The Baku Undercut vs. Overcut Dynamics
Baku City Circuit features a punishing 2.2 km full-throttle straight along the Caspian Sea and tight 90-degree corners through the Old City walls. The undercut yields huge gains on fresh rubber (up to 1.8s per lap) because warmed tires fire up immediately on high-speed braking zones. However, cold out-lap graining can reverse the advantage if tire warm-up exceeds two sectors.
Safety Car & VSC Pit Stop Cheap Delta
Under normal green flag racing, a pit stop at Baku costs approximately 20.8 seconds from pit entry to pit exit. When a Safety Car or Virtual Safety Car is deployed, cars on track are capped by delta times (running ~40% slower), shrinking the net pit loss to just 12.0 to 13.5 seconds. Pitting inside a VSC window hands a driver an automatic ~8.5-second windfall.
Pirelli Compound Thermal Cliff Model
Soft (C5): Base delta -0.7s/lap vs Medium, cliff at Lap 15. Medium (C4): Balanced baseline, steady deg (~0.075s/lap), ideal 18-24 lap window. Hard (C3): Durable low-deg tire (~0.035s/lap), capable of 35+ laps, resilient to Baku's heavy traction demands.