Field of Dreams Spray Chart & D3 Trajectories
10,000 Iterations
Budweiser Sweepstakes Trigger Probability
28.4%
Odds of at least 1 Home Run in the 1st Inning
Sweepstakes Confidence: Moderate (~28.4% chance across 1st inning PA)
Key Matchup Metrics
| Expected 1st-Inning HRs | 0.31 |
| Most Likely HR Hitter Slot | Leadoff or 3-hole hitter |
| Cornfield HR Factor (Park) | 1.18x (330-400-330 ft) |
| Wind Trajectory Shift | +6.2% Distance |
| Sweepstakes Trigger Confidence | Moderate (~28.4% chance) |
Special Event Ballpark 1st-Inning HR Factors
| Ballpark | Dimensions | HR Factor | 1st-Inning HR Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Field of Dreams | 330-400-330 | 1.18 | 4.8% per PA |
| London Stadium | 330-385-330 | 1.35 | 5.6% per PA |
| Williamsport | 225-225-225 | 1.05 | 3.9% per PA |
| MLB Average | 330-400-330 | 1.00 | 3.2% per PA |