FOMC Portfolio Stress Test & Scenario Simulator

FOMC Rate Decision LIVE PROJECTION

Portfolio Baseline MICRO-TRADING

Starting Capital Default $105.00

Asset Allocations 100% Total

Tech Growth (QQQ) β 1.35 40%

Crypto Basket (BTC/ETH) β 2.10 25%

Dividend Yield (SCHD) β 0.75 20%

Cash / Yield (SGOV) β 0.05 15%

Projected Valuation

$106.31

+$1.31 Drift

Net Return

+1.25%

Hold Impact

Max Drawdown Risk

-3.85%

95% VaR Tail

Volatility Score

Moderate

Weighted β: 1.22

D3.js Volatility Cone & Distribution Curve

Mean Drift 95% Tail Risk

Asset Stress-Test Matrix POSITION LEVEL BREAKDOWN

Asset & Ticker	Weight	Value	Beta	Scenario Return	Projected Value	Tail Risk

Model Methodology: Scenario return calibrated to Federal Reserve post-meeting FOMC statements. Tech (QQQ) and Crypto assets express amplified sensitivity to the cost of capital, while short-term Treasuries (SGOV) and high-dividend assets (SCHD) provide defensive capital preservation.

Portfolio Stress-Test Export