Gold Macro Liquidity & Breakout Dynamics Simulator

Transmission Controls LIVE CALIBRATION

Treasury TGA Drawdown +$150B

+$0.28/oz per $1B net liquidity injection

US Dollar Index (DXY) Δ -1.85%

-1.00% DXY inverse gold sensitivity (~$23.20/oz)

10Y US Real Yield Δ -25 bps

-$0.435/oz per 1 bps real yield hike

Summer Base Gold Price $2,320/oz

Overhead Resistance $2,385/oz

Source Alignment (@Forbes): Analysts credit precious metal breakouts to Treasury liquidity support announcements paired with dollar depreciation after multi-month consolidation.

BREAKOUT CONFIRMED • ABOVE RESISTANCE ($2,385)

Simulated Gold Price

$2,415.80

+$95.80 (+4.13%)

Net Liquidity Impact

+3.42%

+$42.00 from TGA

Primary Catalyst

Treasury Liquidity Influx & Dollar Softening

+$30.80 above breakout

12-Week Breakout Trajectory vs Cumulative Liquidity Conduit ▬ Gold Price ($) ▬ Net Liquidity ($B)

Multi-Factor Decomposition Matrix

Transmission Channel	Macro Input	Elasticity Coeff.	Marginal Impact ($/oz)	Contribution (%)