2028 Republican Presidential Nomination Market Analyzer

Kalshi Model Simulator

Source Grounding: Based on @spectatorindex reporting Kalshi prediction market odds where JD Vance holds 46% and Marco Rubio holds 21%. Adjust probability allocations, observe real-time Kalshi-style binary contract prices (1¢ to 99¢), inspect American and decimal odds, and simulate returns.

Candidate Probability Distribution
Presets:
Aggregate Model Probability: 100%
Kalshi Position Simulator $1 = 100¢ payout on settlement
Contract Price
46¢
Implied: -85
Potential Contracts
217
Contracts bought
Max Payout
$217.39
Gross at resolution
Potential Net Profit
$117.39
ROI: +117.39%
Comprehensive 2028 GOP Field Implied Odds & Kalshi Contract Pricing

Standard Kalshi contracts settle at $1.00 (100¢) if the selected candidate secures the official 2028 Republican presidential nomination, and $0.00 if they do not.

Ticker Candidate Market Probability "YES" Price "NO" Price Implied American Odds Decimal Odds $100 "YES" Net Payout

Market Reference & Grounding Details

Data reference source: @spectatorindex post reporting Kalshi prediction market odds: JD Vance 46%, Marco Rubio 21%. Implied American and decimal odds are computed using standard betting market conventions. Prediction market prices reflect probabilities from 1¢ to 99¢ per contract.