Factor Tension Breakdown
Friction vs Endorsement
Primary Sector Vulnerability
Downstream Electability
Historical Intra-Party Endorsement Friction Benchmarks
Comparative Impact
| Incident / Race | Endorsement Signal | Personal Friction | Observed Margin Delta | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paxton (Texas Senate Race) | Convention Endorsement (85%) | "Not the best-looking guy" remark | -3.8% | Active Volatility |
| Mo Brooks (Alabama 2022) | Endorsement Rescinded | Publicly dubbed "woke" | -14.2% | Primary Defeat |
| Brian Kemp (Georgia 2022) | Hostile Opposition | Persistent rally attacks | +22.0% | Incumbent Defiance |
| J.D. Vance (Ohio 2022) | Full MAGA Alignment | Minimal Friction | +8.4% | Primary Victory |
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