Empirical collegiate kicking conversion probabilities across Division I FBS football. Current kick distance highlighted.
| Distance Category | NCAA FBS Conversion Rate | Historical Relative Difficulty | Active Kick Context |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 30 Yards (< 30 yds) | 94.2% | Routine PAT / Short Chip Shot | -- |
| 30 to 39 Yards (Minnesota Opener Tier) | 81.6% | High Expectation Starting Tier | • Current Kick (36 yds) |
| 40 to 49 Yards | 68.3% | Contested Tactical Range | -- |
| 50+ Yards (Long Range) | 46.1% | Clutch Distance / Specialist Tier | -- |
The source target plane is entered kick distance in yards times three feet per yard. Hypothetical forty gives one hundred twenty feet; sixty gives one hundred eighty. Bars share two point four pixels per target-plane foot. This is unit conversion, not a guarantee that a real kick reaches that plane. Saved rules and sports claims are unverified. The source initial speed multiplies entered miles per hour by one point four six six six seven. Sixty becomes eighty-eight point zero zero zero two feet per second; eighty becomes one hundred seventeen point three three three six. Bars share three point seven pixels per foot per second. Gravity, wind and numerical drag are applied later, so these are initial speeds rather than final flight results. The source vertical velocity is converted initial speed times sine of launch angle. At hypothetical sixty miles per hour, thirty degrees gives about forty-four point zero zero zero one vertical feet per second; forty-five gives about sixty-two point two two five five. Bars share seven pixels per vertical foot per second. The forward component also changes, so greater vertical speed does not prove better clearance. Full JSON/reset, original p5 buffers and native first-footer checks preserve the saved simulator.