Tropical Cyclone Warning Ahupuaʻa Hydrology Engine

Hawaii Hurricane Rainfall & Watershed Surge Simulator

Gov. Josh Green Warning: "We expect 8 to 10 more inches of rain all across the state." This model simulates rapid orographic runoff across steep volcanic catchments.

Watershed & Storm Parameters

Island & Catchment Basin
Basalt ridge elevation 2,800 ft down to dense urban canal estuary in 4.5 miles.
Storm Scenario Benchmarks
Storm Rainfall Total 9.2 in
Governor warning benchmark: 8–10+ inches statewide.
Downpour Duration 6.0 hrs
Shorter bursts create violent flash runoff spikes.
Antecedent Soil Moisture 75%
Saturated volcanic clays cause near 90%+ immediate surface runoff.
Wind Track & Orographic Lift NE Trades (Windward+)
Coastal Surge & King Tide 2.8 ft
Blocks stream outlet discharge, backing floodwaters upstream.

Interactive Ahupuaʻa Profile & Hydrograph

Live Physics Engine
Ahupuaʻa Elevation Profile: Mountain Ridge (Mauka) → Valley Basin → Coast (Makai)
Rainfall Surge Wave Ridge Topo
Basin Hydrograph: Instantaneous Stream Discharge vs. Time
Surface Runoff Infiltration

Hydrologic Telemetry & Alerts

Flash Flood Warning
Catastrophic runoff generated across steep basalt terrain. Rapid stream crest expected within 90 minutes.
Peak Discharge
18,420cfs
3.8x normal channel limit
Time to Basin Peak
1h 15m
Ultra-fast flash response
Runoff Coeff. (C)
0.82
Extreme impermeability
Ridge Rain Total
13.8in
1.50x Orographic lift multiplier
Critical Emergency Actions

Why Hawaiian Ahupuaʻa Flash Flood So Fast

Unlike continental river basins spanning thousands of square miles with days of warning, Hawaiian watersheds (ahupuaʻa) descend from volcanic ridges exceeding 3,000–5,000 feet directly into the sea over spans as short as 3 to 7 miles.

This steep gradient produces hydrographs with exceptionally steep rising limbs (short lag times). When trade-wind moisture hits high volcanic ridges, orographic lift can double rainfall totals relative to the coast in under an hour.

Historical Cyclone Rainfall Benchmarks

Storm Event Peak Rainfall Key Impacted Catchment
Hurricane Lane (2018) 58.0 in (Hilo) Wailuku River overflow, Hamakua washouts
Hurricane Iniki (1992) 12.5 in (Kauaʻi) Severe Hanalei & Waimea storm surge convergence
Hurricane Lala (Scenario) 8–10+ in (Statewide) Nuʻuanu / Mānoa canal crest, ʻĪao Valley debris
Kona Low (Dec 2021) 14.2 in (Oʻahu) Widespread urban ponding & Pali landslides

Coastal Backwater Surge Convergence

When high cyclone rainfall surges meet incoming storm surge or King Tides, ocean water prevents stream discharge at the makai river mouth.

This creates a dangerous hydrodynamic bottleneck where upstream runoff stalls and backs up into low-lying urban arteries, such as Honolulu's Ala Wai Canal corridor or Kauai's Hanalei River flats.

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