Game-by-Game Momentum & Win Probability Curve
Surface: Hard Court
Projected Win Prob
58.4%
Critical Turning Point
Game 7 Breakback
Turnaround Games
5
Match Status
Simulated Comeback Verified
TACTICAL EVIDENCE & MODEL VALIDATION
Player / Deficit Base:
Holger Rune vs Top 10 Seed (1 Set Down & 2-4 in 2nd Set)
Breakpoint Efficiency:
68.5% conversion
Unforced Error Delta:
-12 net errors
Psychological Momentum Speed:
1.5x multiplier
Simulated Execution Verdict:
Turnaround locked in 5 games at Game 7 Breakback
Historical ATP Comeback Archive & Reference Matches
Filterable by surface & intensity
| Tournament & Year | Opponent | Deficit Overcome | Surface | Key Turning Point | Break Eff. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Masters (2022) | Novak Djokovic (Top 1 Seed) | Down 0-1 Sets & 1-3 in 2nd | Hard | Game 7 Breakback | 66.7% |
| Rome Masters (2023) | Novak Djokovic (QF) | Down early break in Decider | Clay | Aggressive Forehand Inside-Out | 71.4% |
| Basel ATP 500 (2022) | Roberto Bautista Agut | Down 2-5 1st Set | Hard | Saved 2 Set Points (Game 9) | 60.0% |
| Queen's Club (2023) | Lorenzo Musetti | Down 1-4 1st Set | Grass | Drop Shot / Net Charge at 3-4 | 58.3% |