🏈 Airborne Touchdown Flight Physics
Simulation Active
Presets:
Pre-Play Win Prob
1.4%
Post-TD Win Prob
99.2%
Computed Hang Time
1.82 s
Play Status
Touchdown Verified
📈 4th Quarter Win Probability Swing
Texas vs Deficit
Highlight Breakdown: Down 20 points in the final frame, the Longhorns orchestrated a monumental comeback capped off by Hollywood Smothers leaping 4.2 ft into the air over trailing defensive backs to snare the 38-yard game-winning dagger.
📊 Play Analytics & Matchup Parameters
| Factor | Observed / Calculated | Impact Tier |
|---|---|---|
| Target Receiver | Hollywood Smothers (Texas) | WR1 Target |
| Deficit Overcome | 20 Points | Historic (Top 1%) |
| Pass Arc & Hang Time | 38 yds @ 1.82s | High Arcing |
| Vertical Elevation | 4.2 ft (Contested) | Airborne Win |
| Defensive Separation | 0.6 yds (Tight Window) | Contested Catch |
* Win probability model computes continuous log-odds decay based on collegiate 4th quarter deficit differentials, remaining seconds, and drive success weights.