Hoops Playoff Bracket Architect & Series Simulator

Tournament Preset

Series Format

Playoff Tournament Bracket 2026 Season

Click any team to manually pick advance, or use Simulate Matchup

Ready. Click any matchup slot or run Monte Carlo odds analysis.

First Round

Series A -

1 NY Liberty

8 ATL Dream

Series B -

4 LV Aces

5 SEA Storm

Series C -

2 MIN Lynx

7 PHX Mercury

Series D -

3 CON Sun

6 IND Fever

Semifinals

Semi A (Winner A vs B) -

- TBD (Winner A)

- TBD (Winner B)

Semi B (Winner C vs D) -

- TBD (Winner C)

- TBD (Winner D)

WNBA Finals

Championship -

- TBD

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Projected Champion

Pending Final Series

Make picks or simulate series

Seeds & Net Ratings

Adjust Net Rating (+/- per 100 poss). Higher values boost win probability.

Championship Probability 2,000 Runs

Simulated across whole bracket accounting for home court advantage (+2.4 Net Rtg).

Seed / Team	Finals %	Champ %

How the Basketball Series Simulation Engine Works

Log-5 Bradley-Terry Probability Model

Single game win probability is derived from each team's pace-adjusted Net Rating: P(A wins) = 1 / (1 + 10^((NetRtg_B - NetRtg_A - HCA) / 10.5)). Home court advantage (HCA) confers +2.4 points per 100 possessions to the higher seed.

Multi-Game Series Markov State

Playoff rounds follow the designated format (e.g., Best of 3 with 1-1-1 host structure, or Best of 5 with 2-2-1). The simulator iterates game-by-game until one team reaches the requisite wins.

Full Bracket Monte Carlo Convergence

Running 2,000 simulations runs all 7 series per tournament under stochastic game outcomes, yielding empirical percentages for reaching the Finals and raising the trophy.