Hormuz Strait Diplomatic & Maritime Flow Simulator

Persian Gulf Choke Point Telemetry & Strategic Overland Bypass Model

Strait talks postponed
Strait Throughput (Waterway)
12.4 mbpd
64.6% of Gulf exports
Overland Bypass Export
6.8 mbpd
35.4% routed through Red Sea / Fujairah
Effective Total Export
19.2 mbpd
Gulf production ceiling: 20.5 mbpd
Economic Friction Index
76.5 / 100
War risk premium + routing delay

Persian Gulf & Gulf of Oman Route Geometry

Fleet transit velocity: 14.5 kts
ISLAMIC REPUBLIC OF IRAN SAUDI ARABIA & GULF STATES PERSIAN GULF GULF OF OMAN STRAIT OF HORMUZ 12.4 mbpd Saudi Petroline (to Red Sea) Habshan-Fujairah Bypass Ras Tanura Fujairah Port
Simulation Assessment

Strait talks postponed; severe routing friction with 34% volume diverted to overland pipelines.

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