Axios News Desk Congressional Whip Intelligence
House Democrats face divisions on Russian sanctions bill

House Democrats Russian Sanctions Bill Division & Whip Count Matrix

Target Legislation: Russian Sanctions & Enforcement Act • Democratic Caucus: 213 Members • Full House Majority Line: 218 Votes Conditional Division
Projected 'Yes' Votes 178 Democrat Floor Total
Projected No or Undecided 35 Division Deficit
Critical Swing Bloc Progressive Caucus (42 Undecided / Negotiating Waivers) Key Leverage Group
Floor Status & Viability Conditional Division (Short of Majority without Bipartisan Support) Deficit to 218: 40 votes
Floor Whip Progress (178 / 218 Majority Line) Need +40 GOP Votes or Caucus Unanimity
0 Votes 218 Majority Threshold (Total Chamber: 435) 435 Unanimous

Caucus Stance & Weight Adjuster

● Progressive Caucus 95 Seats (44.6% of Caucus)
63%
Conditional Support / Food & Med Waivers 60 Yes / 35 Undecided
● Moderate & Frontline Democrats 105 Seats (49.3% of Caucus)
100%
Aggressive Enforcement & Secondary Sanctions 105 Yes / 0 Undecided
● Democratic Leadership & Chairs 13 Seats (6.1% of Caucus)
100%
Executive Discretion / Bilateral Alignment 13 Yes / 0 Undecided
● GOP Foreign Affairs Crossover 222 Seats (Minority Inflow)
0 Votes
Hawkish Bipartisan Package Alignment 0 Crossover 'Yes' Votes
Counterfactual Policy Concessions

Caucus Coalition Dependency Graph

D3 Force Layout
Progressive Bloc (95)
Moderate Bloc (105)
Leadership (13)
GOP Crossover
Undecided/Holdout

Faction Divergence Comparison

Caucus Primary Stance Key Demand Projected Yield

Structured Whip Count Telemetry

Real-time JSON/Spec View 
{
  "status": "initializing"
}

Actions & Brief Export

Source Provenance: Grounded in reporting by @axios on X: "House Democrats face divisions on Russian sanctions bill". Floor modeling assumes a 218-seat majority requirement across 435 voting members.
Enjoy this tool? Build your own with Super