POST EVIDENCE: Rest of 2026 Out (UCL Surgery) D3 ROTATION MODEL

Hunter Greene Tommy John Surgery & Reds Rotation Impact Explorer

Quantifying the statistical void in Cincinnati's rotation after Hunter Greene's season-ending Tommy John surgery. Model replacement scenarios and explore historical return-to-pitch benchmarks.

Interactive Rotation Impact Simulator
Replacement Pitcher ERA 4.95
Replacement Inning Load (IP) 68 IP
Replacement K/9 Rate 6.80
Staff Rotation ERA
4.07 (+0.41)
Strikeout Deficit
-35 K
Staff K/9 Rate
8.38 (-0.84)
Projected Return Window
Late 2027

Greene Repertoire Radar Profile

2026 Pitch Mix

Multi-axis profile: Fastball Velocity, Slider Whiff Rate, and Splitter Distribution.

UCL Recovery Velocity Curve

142 Pitcher Benchmark

Expected recovery trajectory (Months post-op vs Velocity retention %)

Reds Rotation Depth Chart & Replacement Projection

PITCHER ROLE GS IP ERA WHIP K/9

Rotation Impact Summary Report Card

OFFICIAL DATASET CAPTURE

Official impact report reflecting Hunter Greene's Tommy John UCL repair, 2026 Reds rotation deficit, and model scenario outputs.

Hunter Greene Status
Out (TJ Surgery)
Innings Gap Created
68 IP
Rotation ERA Shift
+0.41 ERA
Staff K/9 Delta
-0.84 K/9
Target Return Window
Late 2027 / Opening Day 2028
Download Impact Report Card (.JSON)
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