Your Excitement Index
68%
Weighted average of your likelihoods
Community Consensus
57%
Average fan sentiment index
IGN Editorial Odds
62%
14 rumors curated from IGN
High-Confidence Bets (>75%)
4
Items in your lock-in tier
Your Nintendo Direct Prediction Ballot
Custom probabilities compiled live from your matrix sliders
Hype Rating
HIGH HYPE
Top 3 Most Likely Announcements:

Consensus Comparative Matrix

Inspect deviations between your personal probability assessments, IGN’s editorial likelihoods, and community consensus polls.

Prediction Title Category Your Likelihood IGN Odds Community Personal vs IGN

Source Context & Fact-Checking

Curated directly from IGN's editorial analysis "Is it finally time for 3D Mario? Here are 14 predictions for the upcoming Nintendo Directs" posted on X (@IGN canonical status #2097007262896197721). Consensus polling reflects aggregated fan sentiment across community boards, while individual odds are user-adjustable sandbox parameters.