Macroeconomic & Career Policy Research

India Public Exam Funnel & Opportunity Cost Simulator

Structural Youth Bottleneck: Millions of young candidates in India dedicate years to full-time test preparation for a fraction of public sector openings. This simulator models the dynamic screening funnel and calculates the cumulative economic opportunity cost—direct coaching expenses and lost private-sector wages—over a 10-year horizon.

Selection Probability 0.282% 1 in ~354 applicants
Direct Prep Expenses ₹5.76 Lakhs Coaching, rent & test series
Foregone Private Wages ₹10.56 Lakhs Opportunity cost during prep
Total Economic Burden ₹16.32 Lakhs Direct out-of-pocket + lost income

Candidate Filtering Funnel

Interactive stage drop-off from initial applicants to final appointment
Stage Inspection: CBT-1 Screening Click or hover funnel polygon for details
Remaining Candidates 705,620
Stage Filter Ratio 5.65% of applicants
Cumulative Drop-off 11,794,380 eliminated

10-Year Career Trajectory Comparison

Cumulative financial outcome: Unsuccessful Public Exam Attempt vs Private Sector Pathway

Canonical Proof & Telemetry Evidence Card

Summary analysis generated for public policy research and economic evaluation.

RRB NTPC Drive

12,500,000 vs 35,281

0.282248%

₹5,76,000

₹10,56,000

₹16,32,000

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