MLB Statcast

Austin Riley Outfield Chase & Catch Probability Simulator

Pursuit vector physics & sprint geometry for over-the-shoulder outfield grabs

Statcast Top-Down Ballpark Diamond
Drag ● 3B Fielder or ● Ball Target
4.30 s
27.8 ft/s
0.35 s
94 %
Statcast Play Telemetry & Probability
28.4% Catch Prob
4-Star Grab (26-50%)

High-difficulty highlight requiring elite route efficiency & top-tier infielder sprint burst.

Distance to Cover 114.2 ft From 3B depth to LF grass
Effective Run Time 3.95 s Hang time minus 0.35s jump
Max Achievable Reach 107.4 ft Sprint dist + 4.2ft glove reach
Req. Speed vs MLB Avg 28.9 ft/s MLB Avg: 27.0 ft/s (+1.9 ft/s)
MLB Catch Probability Star Scale
★ 1-Star (Routine)91 – 95%+
★★ 2-Star (Standard)76 – 90%
★★★ 3-Star (Tough)51 – 75%
★★★★ 4-Star (Great)26 – 50%
★★★★★ 5-Star (Spectacular)0 – 25%
[System Ready] Statcast pursuit engine initialized.
Austin Riley starting position: (-65 ft, 105 ft). Ball landing target: (-110 ft, 210 ft).
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