Iran Gasoline Quota & Subsidy Tier Simulator 110L THRESHOLD

Analyzing household fuel shock, smuggling arbitrage & government deficit impacts
Vehicle Consumption Density & 110-Litre Cliff

Drag the threshold line or use the slider below to model alternate rationing cliffs.

Subsidized Tier Unsubsidized Over-Quota
Quota Threshold 110 Litres / month
Subsidized Price 15,000 IRR / L
Tiered Over-Quota Price 50,000 IRR / L
Macroeconomic & Treasury Balances
Estimated monthly national baseline (approx. 24M private & commercial light vehicles)
Monthly Treasury Savings
34.8 Trillion IRR
Reduced direct refining subsidy payout
Population Breaching Quota
43.2%
Vehicles pushed into higher market pricing tier
Avg Household Fuel Inflation
+114.6%
Expenditure shift among active drivers
Border Arbitrage Gap
88.2% discount
Vs regional retail benchmark ($0.85/L)
Vehicle & Commuter Cohort Impacts
Direct monthly fuel cost shock under current quota cliff