Isaiah Likely Giants Performance & Roster Impact Simulator

Offensive Controls 17-Game Pace

Target Share Allocation

5% (Blocker) 20%+ (Primary Option) 35% (Historic)

Offensive Snap Participation

40% (Rotational) 68.5% (Giants 12-Personnel) 95% (Every Down)

Yards Per Reception Baseline 12.4

9.0 (Short Checkdowns) 12.4 (Likely Career) 16.0 (Seam Stretch)

Offensive Scheme Presets

Projected Output & Impact Tier NYG Offense

Receptions

~4.35 / game

Rec Yards

918

54.0 YPG pace

Touchdowns

High RZ utility

Targets

116

63.8% catch rt

Output vs Career Baselines

Yards Milestone:

918 yds

Receptions Target:

74 rec

Evaluation Metric	Giants Model Pace	2024 High (Ravens)	Career Baseline
Target Share %	21.0%	12.8%	11.4%
Total Receptions	74	42	33.8 / season
Receiving Yards	918	477	392 / season
Receiving Touchdowns	9	6	3.8 / season
Yards Per Reception	12.4	11.4	11.6

Source Evidence & Statistical Context Deterministic Audit Verification

Raw Captured Source Post

“ISAIAH LIKELY IS ABSOLUTELY BALLING OUT FOR THE GIANTS 🔥”

Publisher: ClutchPoints (@ClutchPoints) on X
Status URL: status/2099338219691102522
Context: Highlights Likely's breakout play after stepping into the New York Giants offense featuring multiple tight end packages.

Derived Analytical Model

Giants Scheme Factor: High 12/13-personnel utilization with flex perimeter tight end deployment.
Historical Precedents: 135 career receptions for 1,568 yards and 15 TDs at 11.6–12.4 YPR in Baltimore (2022–2025).
Simulation Logic: Estimates 552.5 total offensive pass attempts over 17 games, adjusted by individual snap participation and target share.