Japan Curry House Immigration Shock Simulator

Microeconomic & Kitchen Workflow Impact of Skilled Labor Visa Tightening

Immigration Policy Levers MOJ Skilled Labor
52%
Strict (85%)
¥280,000
¥65,000
4 Cooks
2 Masters
⚠️
PRIMARY DEFICIT:
Naan & Tandoor station unstaffed during peak dinner service
Kitchen Throughput & Labor Pipeline Critical Staffing Deficit
🔥 Naan & Tandoor 45%
Required: 2Avail: 0.9
🍲 Curry & Gravy Pot 78%
Required: 1Avail: 0.8
🥗 Prep & Appetizers 60%
Required: 1Avail: 0.6
🛎️ FOH & Service 65%
Required: 1Avail: 0.7
Enforcement Mechanism: MOJ mandates 10 years of authenticated foreign culinary documentation. Stricter immigration audits reduce qualified overseas replacements, forcing remaining masters to split shifts or shut tandoor ovens during dinner peaks.
Unit Economics & Runway Tokyo Suginami
Capacity Loss
42.5%
Net Margin
-4.8%
Est. Runway
5.2 mos
Effective Covers
1,955 /mo
Baseline Monthly Covers3,400
Avg Check per Guest¥1,150
Gross Realized Revenue¥2,248,250
Food & Spice Cost (31%)-¥696,958
Labor Cost & Sponsor Burden-¥1,185,000
Fixed Rent & Utilities-¥475,000
Monthly Net Cashflow -¥108,708
Simulated baseline based on neighborhood Curry House operating parameters audited against 2026 Immigration Bureau enforcement standards.
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