Macro Transmission Simulator

Japan GDP Headwind Simulator: April–June Shock Explorer

Grounded in Reuters dispatch: April–June GDP softened by raw material inflation & Middle East transit disruptions
● Live Transmission Ready
Shock Controls
Calibrated Scenarios
9.4%
18 days
62%
2.1%
14.2%
Quarterly Macro Decomposition (Q2 Apr–Jun) Weights: Cons 54% | Capex 16% | Pub 25% | NX 5%
Annualized Real GDP
+0.78%
-0.82% vs Consensus (1.60%)
QoQ GDP Growth
+0.19%
-0.21% pt dev
Real Purchasing Power
-0.86%
CPI Exceeds Wage Growth
Consumption Drag
-0.48%
Precautionary Saving Active
Macro Transmission Insight: Raw material inflation of 9.4% and energy surge of 14.2% pass through into domestic prices (+2.96% CPI impulse). With nominal wage growth at 2.1%, real purchasing power contracts by -0.86%, driving private consumption softness. Simultaneously, shipping disruption transit delays (18 days) cause inventory bottlenecks that shave -0.24% from private capital expenditure.
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