Japan Ice Age Cohort Career Scarring Explorer

Simulating 40-Year Longitudinal Lost Wages, Lock-In Friction, and Public Pension Accrual (1993–2004)

Unscarred Lifetime Potential
¥284M
Benchmark Seishain track
Ice Age Actual Lifetime
¥172M
-¥112M (-39.4%) Deficit
Policy Mitigated Recovery
¥38.5M
+34.4% of Scarring Restored
Retirement Pension Impact
-18.5%
34.2% Non-Regular Lock-in

Cumulative Lifetime Earnings Trajectory (Age 22 to 65)

Unscarred Regular Baseline (¥284M)
Ice Age Unmitigated Trajectory (¥172M)
Policy-Intervened Recovery (¥210.5M)

Cohort Employment State Distribution Over 40-Year Career

Regular Employment (Seishain)
Policy-Converted Regular Track
Trapped Non-Regular (Hiseishain)

Longitudinal Age Milestones Ledger

Age Year Regular Wage (¥) Ice-Age Actual Wage (¥) Policy Wage (¥) Non-Regular Share Cumul. Gap (¥)
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