Japan Startup Ecosystem Diagnostic & Policy Sandbox

Structural Reform Levers Sandbox Controls

SCENARIO PRESETS

1. Talent Mobility & Tenure Lock-in

Stock Option Tax Relief (NISA/Exit) Corporate Carveout / Spin-off Deregulation

Direct Founder Mobility Subsidy Lv. 3 / 5

2. Late-Stage Scaleup Capital

GPIF / Pension Fund VC Allocation 1.5%

TSE Growth Market Min Cap Threshold $50M

3. Open Innovation & Procurement

Foreign Founder Visa Fast-Track

Keiretsu / Gov Tech Procurement Quota 12%

Ecosystem Pipeline & Venture Flow Dynamic D3 Simulation Engine

Venture Conversion Pipeline (Annual Flows) Tokyo Metropolitan Cluster

Friction Attenuation Profile

Friction Severity Scores Lower is Better

Talent Lock-in 38 / 100

Scaleup Capital Gap 29 / 100

Procurement Insularity 42 / 100

Primary alleviation: Late-stage scaleup capital gap

Calibrated Macro Telemetry 5-Year Forecast

Ecosystem Multiplier

2.85x

+185% vs 2024

Median Series B

$22.4M

+$14.2M uplift

Talent to Startups

18.5%

+11.3 pts

Annual Unicorns

6.4

+5.2 / yr

Executive Policy Memo (Live Draft) METI & Cabinet Spec