Sector Payroll Momentum Distribution
Directly adjust sector hiring pace to test macro sensitivity
* Click any bar to cycle sector weighting; updates aggregate run rates and Fed target rate probabilities.
Reported Payrolls
+162,000
▲ +27,000 vs Cons. (135k)
Consensus Beat
+20.0%
Z-Score: +1.35σ dispersion
Leading Sector
Healthcare & Social
+48,000 jobs (29.6%)
3-Month Run Rate
137,000
Prior: 114k | Net Accelerating
Policy Fed Bias
Neutral-Hold
Terminal Range: 5.00%-5.25%
Slack Bridge & Policy Reaction
Household unemployment reconciliation & Fed terminal pricing
62.0% (Tight Labor)
62.7% (Reported)
63.5% (Slack Expansion)
Implied Unemployment (U-3)
4.10%
Implied Labor Pool Delta
0k
FOMC Meeting Rate Probability
HAWKISH LEAN (HOLD)
Stronger-than-anticipated +162,000 prints provide runway for Fed policymakers to hold federal funds rates at 5.00%-5.25%, damping urgency for rapid easing.
August Nonfarm Sector Breakdown Registry
Comprehensive ledger comparing baseline gains against consensus benchmarks
| Sector / Domain | August Net Jobs | Sector Share | 3-Mo Momentum | Cyclical Beta | Macro Signal |
|---|