Aaron Judge IL Return & Yankees Lineup Impact Explorer

Official Notice: Aaron Judge has been activated from the Injured List and is slated to return tonight for the first time in 84 games.

Source: @MLBNetwork via @jonmorosi on #MLBCentral

Absence: 84 Games Missed

Interactive Lineup Card Simulate Slots 1 - 6

Select Aaron Judge's Batting Order Slot:

Note: Slots 7-9 remain anchored with standard utility/catchers. Shuffling Judge dynamically cascades surrounding Yankees run-producers.

Offensive Run Expectancy & Splits 84-Game Window Delta

Team OPS

.814

+0.082 vs IL Span

Runs / Game

5.35

+1.18 Delta

HR Pacing (162g)

248

+52 HR Pace

During 84-Game Absence (.732 OPS) .732

Projected Lineup with Judge (Slot #3) .814

Metric Category	Without Judge (84 G)	Simulated Return	Delta
On-Base % (OBP)	.314	.348	+0.034
Slugging % (SLG)	.418	.466	+0.048
WPA / Game Factor	-0.04	+0.18	+0.22
Plate Appearances / Game	37.1	39.4	+2.3

Historical Benchmark: Aaron Judge Return Splits Career Precedent

In previous instances of activation following prolonged absences, Aaron Judge has historically posted an immediate 1.050+ OPS across his initial 15 games back. Below is the historical model informing this simulation.

First 10 Games Post-IL

1.042

Career Average OPS

AB per Home Run

9.8

Career Average

Walk Rate (BB%)

18.4%

Lineup Protection

Barrel Rate

22.1%

Statcast Baseline

Source Verification & Context

Captured Post: MLB Network (@MLBNetwork) on #MLBCentral reported via @jonmorosi that Aaron Judge has been activated from the IL and is expected to return to the Yankees lineup tonight for the first time in 84 games.

Grounding & Methodology: Pre-return baseline metrics correspond directly to the Yankees team offensive profile during the specific 84-game absence period (.732 OPS, 4.17 R/G). Simulated outputs model Aaron Judge’s career weightings combined with batting slot plate appearance distributions based on standard linear run expectancy tables.