Titans 4th & 2 Conversion Tactics & Air Yards Lab

0.0s

Air Yards Depth

18.4 YDS

Yards After Catch

9.6 YDS

Expected Points Added

+2.84 EPA

Conversion Delta

+100% (1st Dn)

4th-Down Scenario Lab SIM ENGINE

Down & Distance 4th & 2

Target Pass Depth (Air Yds) 18.4 yds

Bears Defensive Coverage Cover 1 Man

Pass Velocity & Timing 48 mph / 2.3s

Analytics & Decision Curve

Conversion Prob (This Call) 68.2%

Conservative Flat EPA +1.12 EPA

Aggressive Seam EPA +2.84 EPA

Tactical Breakdown: Against Chicago's Cover 1 single-high look on 4th & 2, the Bears linebackers stepped up anticipating a short crosser. Will Levis targeted Kylen Granson climbing the seam 18.4 yards downfield, converting with 9.6 YAC for a huge 28-yard splash play.