Mahomes vs Broncos Head-to-Head Stats & Odds Analyzer

Historical Win Rate

86.67%

13-2 career mark

Home Win Rate

100.00%

7-0 at Arrowhead

Implied Probability

57.26%

At -134 moneyline

Profit on $100 Stake

$74.63

Total Payout: $174.63

Betting Odds & Payout Simulator FanDuel Reference: -134

Stake Amount ($) $100

American Moneyline Odds -134

Implied Win Probability

57.26%

Historical Edge vs Odds

+29.41%

Potential Net Profit

$74.63

Total Return / Payout

$174.63

Win Probability Comparison: Historical vs. Market Implied

Mahomes vs. Broncos Game Log Showing All 15 Games (13-2)

Date / Season	Location	Result	Score	KC Passing

Career vs. Denver: 13-2 (.867 Win Pct)

Arrowhead Stadium (Home): 7-0 (1.000 Win Pct)

Road at Denver: 6-2 (.750 Win Pct)

💡 Note: Patrick Mahomes' first NFL career start took place at Denver in Week 17 of the 2017 season (a 27-24 Chiefs victory). His first career loss to Denver occurred on Oct 29, 2023 at Mile High.

Source Citation & Evidence Audit

"Patrick Mahomes is 7-0 all time at home against the Broncos and 13-2 against Denver in his career👀 You backing KC in Mahomes’ return at -134?🤔 (h/t @Bet_Labs @fanduel)"

Published by @br_betting on X (Sep 14, 2026). Data cross-referenced against historical box scores and FanDuel sports betting lines. All payout models utilize standard American moneyline conversion algorithms.