NFL Lab

Patrick Mahomes TD Drive & Quarterback Career Stat Explorer

Drive Scenario Builder
Situational Grounding: Bleacher Report captured Patrick Mahomes' signature red-zone touchdown sequence. This simulator models historical win expectancy, offensive efficiency rating, and play-action success against standard NFL defensive coverages.
Mahomes Live Drive Telemetry Ready
Drive Success Prob
78.4%
Expected Points Added
+3.42 EPA
Mahomes Historical Conv
81.2%
Projected Outcome
Passing Touchdown
Patrick Mahomes Red-Zone Benchmark Records
Game Scenario Opponent / Stage Pass TD Yardage Passer Rating Game EPA
Q4 Final 2-Min Drive AFC Championship vs BUF 19 YDS (Pass to Kelce) 142.8 +4.18
Red-Zone Play-Action Super Bowl LVIII vs SF 3 YDS (Corn Dog TD) 131.2 +3.89
Scramble Drill TD Week 4 vs NYJ 34 YDS (P. Mahomes Rush/Pass) 118.5 +2.94
Goal Line Shootout Divisional vs CIN 8 YDS (Red-Zone Bullet) 127.4 +3.61
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