Market Drivers Fed AI Capex Matrix

D3 Dual-Axis Market Vector Plane

Macro Rate Bets vs Micro AI Earnings Uplift

Macro (Fed Policy Stance)

Micro (AI Capex & Yields)

Net Index Catalyst Vector

Directly manipulate vectors by tweaking macro monetary inflation expectations and micro compute revenue guidance below. The resultant amber arrow represents total net directional equity uplift.

Scenario Sandbox & Sensitivity Parameters

Macroeconomic Drivers (Fed Monetary Stance)

MoM CPI Inflation Rate 0.15%

September Rate Cut/Pause Sentiment 88% Hold

Microeconomic Fundamental Drivers (AI Compute Infra)

CoreWeave & AI Infra Capex Growth QoQ +28.5%

GPU Yield & Data Center Expansion Factor 1.15x

Reuters Quick Presets

Detailed Driver Contribution & Equity Index Sensitivity Matrix

CoreWeave Q2 Infrastructure Driver Disaggregation

Catalyst Domain	Specific Driver Metric	Fed Rate Probability Shift	S&P 500 Impact	Nasdaq 100 Impact	Driver Weight (%)

Reuters Market Observation Context: The baseline model reflects mild MoM inflation data (0.15%) maintaining an 88% probability that the Fed holds interest rates unchanged in September. Simultaneously, AI compute provider earnings (led by CoreWeave Q2 guidance of +28.5% capex expansion) provide direct micro fundamental uplift of +0.85% for the S&P 500 and +1.42% for the tech-heavy Nasdaq.