Baker Mayfield TB vs NYJ Passing Efficiency & Coverage Map

Defensive Shell Matchup:

Low EPA / High Defense High EPA / Explosive Window

Play-Action Rate 24%

Jets Pressure Rate 36%

Hot Route Readiness High

Aggregated Pass Telemetry

Expected EPA/Att

+0.14

Top 25% Tier

Comp % Over Exp

+3.8%

Positive Drift

Explosive Rate (15+)

17.2%

Intermediate Focus

Air Yards / Att

7.8

Baseline 7.8

Zone: Intermediate Middle 10-19 yds

Historical Volume Share	18.4%
Expected Completion Rate	68.2%
EPA / Attempt vs Shell	+0.28
Explosive Opportunity	High (Seam/Dig)

Key Matchup Insight:

Against New York's Cover 3 base look, intermediate middle crossers and deep boundary seam shots yield +0.28 EPA. Mayfield's 104.2 Play-Action rating excels when linebackers bite.

TB vs NYJ Game Plan Brief