Incident Investigation Context Kinematic Rollout Model

MIA Runway Overrun Safety & Buffer Analyzer

Verified Source Incident Facts: On September 6, 2026, an Amazon cargo widebody jet (B767-300F class, ~285,000 lbs landing weight) overran the paved runway during landing at Miami International Airport (MIA), breached the perimeter barrier, and struck multiple vehicles on bordering public roadways (NW 72nd Ave / Perimeter Rd corridor), resulting in at least 5 fatalities.

Engineering Simulator Role: Below is an interactive runway overrun kinematics model calculating rollout distance, threshold exit speed, Runway Safety Area (RSA) turf deceleration, Engineered Material Arresting System (EMAS) arrestor performance, and perimeter road impact energies.

Flight & Runway Setup

Runway: MIA 9/27 (13,016 ft)
Approach Speed ($V_{app}$): 142 kts
Touchdown Point Downfield: 3,200 ft
Target touchdown zone is 1,000–1,500 ft. Late flare pushes roll deep.
Runway Surface Friction ($\mu$): Wet Contaminated (0.16)
Thrust Reversers: Partial / Inop (30%)
Overrun Safety Treatment: Standard Turf RSA (1,000 ft)
Perimeter Road Setback: 850 ft
Runway Excursion Status
EXCURSION
Breaches threshold
Total Landing Roll
14,280 ft
+1,264 ft beyond paved rwy
Threshold Exit Speed
58.4 kts
Speed leaving pavement
Perimeter Road Impact
39.1 kts
18.4 MJ kinetic energy
Mean Deceleration
0.19 G
Brakes + Aerodynamic + RSA
Paved Runway Pavement
Safe Deceleration Zone
Extended Rollout / Overrun
EMAS Cellular Concrete Bed
Public Perimeter Roadway (NW 72nd Ave)
Impact Penetration Vector

Kinematic Deceleration Model (FAA & NTSB Grounded)

The simulation solves instantaneous deceleration $a(t)$ using the standard multi-force aircraft landing equation:

a = g · [ μeff · (1 - L/W) + D/W + Trev/W + Farrest/W ]

Friction Coefficient (μ): On dry runways, antiskid achieves μ ≈ 0.40–0.50. Dynamic standing water and ungrooved pavement reduce effective wheel braking to μ ≤ 0.16. At speeds above hydroplaning threshold ($V_p \approx 9 \sqrt{tire\_psi}$), tire contact is lost.

EMAS Crushed Concrete Performance: An Engineered Material Arresting System (FAA AC 150/5220-22B) exerts sustained compressive drag of 1.4 to 1.8 G on widebody landing gear bogies, bringing 70-knot excursions to a complete stop inside 350–500 feet before reaching airport perimeter boundaries.

Perimeter Setback & Buffer Comparison

Comparative risk metrics calculated for current settings across airport safety boundaries:

Boundary Marker Distance Status Speed at Crossing Residual Kinetic Energy

Standard FAA AC 150/5300-13B mandates a 1,000-ft Runway Safety Area (RSA) beyond runway ends. Where physical constraints (public roads, waterways) truncate the RSA, EMAS installation provides equivalent safety.