Sports Variance Engine // Miami Late-Drive Analysis

Miami Field Goal Over/Under Probability Analyzer

Inspired by @br_betting: "Miami field goal blocked for the over😭"
Game & Drive Configuration Adjust parameters in real time
Target Over/Under Line 48.5
Pre-Play Combined Game Score 45
Field Goal Attempt Distance (Yards) 42 yds
Kicker Baseline Accuracy (Season) 81%
Crosswind Velocity (mph) 14 mph
Sports Statistics Model Note: Special-teams kick block probability is modeled via an empirical collegiate/pro baseline formula factoring kick launch elevation angle ($d > 40\text{ yds}$ yields lower trajectories), rush pressure, and line protection variance.
Live Totals & Mathematical Consequence Live Simulation Output
Totals Outcome Classification
Under Verified

Blocked field goal preserved the Under 48.5 by 3.5 points.

Simulated Final Total
45
Over / Under Differential
-3.5
Drive Points Added
0
Calculated Block Chance
0.048
Play Outcome Expected Over / Under Distribution
Multi-Scenario Play Matrix
Scenario Play Pts Final O/U Result Line Diff
Enjoy this tool? Build your own with Super