Target State Profile
Industrial Exposure
State Baseline Parameters
Auto Exposure Index
84.5
Mfg Jobs at Risk
42,500
Steel Cost Variance
+28.4%
Retaliation Score
91.2
Tariff Shock Levers
Composite Vulnerability
81.4 / 100
Aggregate supply friction & capital drag
Annual Cost Burden
$1.42B
Direct intermediate tariff expense
Primary Impact Sector
Automotive & Industrial Machinery
Sector bearing peak import burden
Supply Chain Resilience
High Risk
Vulnerability to retaliatory embargoes
Cross-Border Trade Friction Network
D3 force-directed model of bilateral parts flow & tariff disruption vectors
State Anchor
USMCA Trade
Retaliation Node
“Tariffs are brutalizing Michigan, and other states should heed the warning... When you place tariffs on parts that cross the Canadian and Mexican borders six times before final assembly, you make American manufacturing uncompetitive.” — Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, The Wall Street Journal
Regional industrial economies rely on just-in-time integration across Ontario, Coahuila, and the American Midwest. Compounded border tariffs create cost friction that cascades into parts shortages, plant pauses, and consumer sticker shock.
Economic Vulnerability Briefing Proof: Michigan
Simulation Ready
State Michigan exhibits composite vulnerability 81.4 / 100 with estimated annual cost burden $1.42B.
Primary exposure concentrates in Automotive & Industrial Machinery with a supply chain rating of High Risk.