MLB

Foul Ball Zone & Catch Probability Lab

Inspired by @MLBONFOX: "Oh man 😔 this fan lost the ball AND his hat. Brutal."

Ballpark Architecture:
Target Section: Field Box 112 (Row 6)
Interactive Foul Territory & Trajectory Map
Click seats or drag ball to aim foul drive
Flight Arc: 1.2s | Exit: 102.5 mph
High Hazard Zone Reaction Warning Safe / Caught

Statcast & Spectator Parameters

Distracted
102.5 mph
70 mph (Bloop) 95 mph (Liner) 118 mph (Screamer)
38°
10° (Line Drive) 38° (High Pop) 75° (Straight Up)
85 ft
45 ft (Front Row Net) 85 ft (Field Box) 180 ft (Upper Deck)
Spectator Equipment & Readiness
Statcast Ballistic Output

Spectator Catch & Hazard Analysis Extreme Hazard

Ball Flight Time: 1.2s Impact Speed: 88.4 mph
Catch Success Rate
14.2%
Barehanded + Low reaction window
Glove Retention Prob
0.0%
No glove brought to section
Hat Lost / Tumble Risk
89.5%
Lost both ball & cap! Brutal
Reaction Margin
0.55s
Visual cue delay: 0.65s
Trajectory & Spectator Incident Breakdown

At 85 ft from home plate with an exit velocity of 102.5 mph and a 38° launch angle, the foul ball reaches Section Field Box 112 in exactly 1.2 seconds descending at 88.4 mph. Because the spectator is Distracted / Looking Away and barehanded, human perception delay (0.65s) consumes over half the flight time, making an uncontrolled deflection almost guaranteed and knocking the unfastened hat clean into the row below.

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