Current Streak
9 Games
Fair Implied Hit %
68.2%
Simulated 1+ Hit Prob
83.2%
Bet Edge (Hit Prop)
+15.0%
Streak Sustainability Index
High (84/100) based on 58.2% Hard-Hit & 14.1% BB rate
84/100
Rolling Performance Trajectory
wOBA vs League Avg
1,000-Trial PA Monte Carlo Simulation
1,000 Runs
0 Hits
16.8%
1 Hit
38.4%
2 Hits
31.2%
3+ Hits
13.6%
BetMGM Odds vs Fair Model Comparison
Standard 4.5% Sportsbook Vig Removed
| BetMGM Prop Market | Posted Line | Book Implied Prob | Fair No-Vig Prob | Model Simulated | Edge / Value Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| To Record a Hit | -240 | 70.6% | 68.2% | 83.2% | +15.0% Fair Value |
| Over 1.5 Total Bases | +115 | 46.5% | 44.8% | 51.4% | +6.6% Small Value |
| To Hit a Home Run | +340 | 22.7% | 21.4% | 19.8% | -1.6% Slight Vig Under |