MLB Late-Night Game Climax & Escape Analyzer Night-Cap Edition

Continuous D3 leverage index graph scrubbing, high-stress PA breakdown & counterfactual escape solver

“Now that baseball is over for the night, I have to go try to figure out how Kamu managed to escape being put on the block by Lala” — @MLB
LA Dodgers vs. SF Giants 5 - 4 (10 Innings)
Bottom 9th
⚡ Win Probability & Leverage Index Timeline
Hover/Drag nodes or scrub slider to replay plate appearances
Bottom 9th - 2 Outs Bases Loaded
Escape strikeout with 22% win probability remaining. Pitcher preserves tie game in high-leverage climax.
Leverage Index (LI) 8.40
WPA Swing +0.38
Home Win Prob 60%
🎛️ Counterfactual Escape Simulator

Tweak late-game runners, outs, and run gap to recalculate expected Win Probability and Leverage Index on the fly.

Base Runner State
Out Count
Run Differential (Home Team)
Recalculated Home Win Probability
60%
Leverage Index: 8.4 LI
High-Stress Escape Situation
📊 Late-Night Game Climax & Clutch Performance Summary
Clutch Escape Rating High Stress Win (+0.38 WPA)
Peak Leverage Index 8.40 LI
Total WPA Swings 1.12 WPA
Inning Outs Runners Leverage Index WPA Impact Sequence Event Description
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