MLB NETWORK

Four-Game Slate & #MLBNShowcase Explorer

Live daily schedule & statistical win probability model

Today's 4-Game MLB Slate LIVE SELECTION

Select game to load matchup data

Matchup Probability & Simulation Engine

Active focus: Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves (#MLBNShowcase)

CALCULATED
TB
Tampa Bay Rays 75-65 • +28 Diff Starter: Shane McClanahan (3.12 ERA)
VS
ATL
Atlanta Braves 78-62 • +42 Diff Starter: Spencer Strider (3.04 ERA)
Rays 46.2% Simulated Win Probability Braves 53.8%
TB 46.2%
ATL 53.8%
Even (0%)
← Favors Away Bullpen Neutral Favors Home Bullpen →
Standard Home (+3.5%)
Neutral Ground Average MLB (+3.5%) Hostile / Extreme (+8%)
Baseline Projected
← Away Ace Dominant Equal Match Home Ace Dominant →
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Matchup Statistical Breakdown

Metric Category Rays (Away) Braves (Home)
2026 Overall Record 75-65 (.536) 78-62 (.557)
Season Run Differential +28 +42
Pythagorean Win % Exp .524 .538
Bullpen ERA (L30 Days) 3.48 3.62
Recent Form (Last 10) 6-4 7-3
Head-to-Head (Season Series) 1-2 2-1
{"status":"ready","active_game":"Rays vs. Braves","win_probability":{"Tampa Bay Rays":"46.2%","Atlanta Braves":"53.8%"}}
Source Linkage: Based on captured post from @MLBNetwork on X. Showcase partner confirmed as CarShield.
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