Scenarios:
🏆 Status: Bracket initialized with 2026 Postseason seeds. Click any series node to simulate or pick winners!
0 / 11 Series Decided
⚾ 2026 Postseason Tournament Tree
Wild Card: Best of 3 | Division: Best of 5 | LCS & WS: Best of 7
American League (AL)
AL Wild Card (Bo3)
ALDS (Bo5)
ALCS (Bo7)
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Commissioner's Trophy Champion

Series In Progress
Simulate World Series Game 7 or run 10k Monte Carlo
National League (NL)
NL Wild Card (Bo3)
NLDS (Bo5)
NLCS (Bo7)

How the 2026 October Postseason Engine Works

12-Team MLB Playoff Format: The top 2 division winners in each league earn byes to the Division Series (DS). Seeds 3 through 6 square off in a high-stakes, best-of-three Wild Card Series hosted entirely at the higher seed's home park.

Pythagorean Win Expectancy & Log5 Matchups: Individual game win probabilities are derived from Bill James' log5 equation adjusted for each club's regular season run differential, wRC+ offensive index, starting rotation FIP, and late-inning bullpen leverage index.

Monte Carlo Simulation: When running the 10,000-run simulation, each series is simulated pitch-by-pitch and game-by-game across full bracket permutations, incorporating rest days and rotation sequencing to calculate genuine championship odds.

Local Execution & Export: All calculations, probability matrices, and bracket states run entirely inside your browser. Export the populated bracket state as a JSON report or use presets to test underdog Cinderella runs.

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