Presets:
AL American League
Seeds 1 & 2 receive Bye
AL Wild Card (Best of 3)
10 Pts each
3
Mariners
89-73
54%
β
6
Blue Jays
85-77
46%
β
4
Orioles
91-71
56%
β
5
Astros
88-74
44%
β
AL Division Series (Best of 5)
20 Pts each
1
Yankees
96-66
62%
β
-
Winner ALWC 2
-
38%
β
2
Guardians
92-69
53%
β
-
Winner ALWC 1
-
47%
β
AL Championship Series (ALCS)
40 Pts
-
Winner ALDS 1
-
58%
β
-
Winner ALDS 2
-
42%
β
The 2026 World Series
AL Champion vs. NL Champion (Best of 7) β’ 80 Pts
-
AL Champion
-
50%
β
-
NL Champion
-
50%
β
1,000-Run Monte Carlo Equity
1,000 Sims
Simulating Series Matrix...
| Team | Pennant | World Series Title % |
|---|
NL National League
Seeds 1 & 2 receive Bye
NL Wild Card (Best of 3)
10 Pts each
3
Brewers
93-69
52%
β
6
Mets
89-73
48%
β
4
Padres
93-69
54%
β
5
Braves
89-73
46%
β
NL Division Series (Best of 5)
20 Pts each
1
Dodgers
98-64
65%
β
-
Winner NLWC 2
-
35%
β
2
Phillies
95-67
57%
β
-
Winner NLWC 1
-
43%
β
NL Championship Series (NLCS)
40 Pts
-
Winner NLDS 1
-
55%
β
-
Winner NLDS 2
-
45%
β
Postseason Format & Bracket Scoring Architecture
12-Team MLB Playoff Structure
Six teams per league: three division champions seeded 1 to 3 by regular season record, plus three wild card teams seeded 4 to 6. The top two seeds in each league earn byes straight into the Division Series.
Official Challenge Scoring Matrix
Points double each round: Wild Card winners earn 10 points each (40 total), Division Series earn 20 points each (80 total), League Championship Series earn 40 points each (80 total), and the World Series champion earns 80 points plus series length bonuses (max 320 possible points).
Monte Carlo Simulation Engine
Calculates team power indexes from Pythagorean win expectations, bullpen ERA, weighted runs created plus (wRC+), and home field advantage. Runs 1,000 randomized series iterations to compute true pennant and World Series championship equity.
Tiebreaker Precision
In official $10K Bracket Challenges, ties are settled by the combined run total across all games of the World Series. Historical Fall Classic run totals average 42 to 46 runs.