1. Governance Architecture
Preset Pathways
2. Core Structural Challenges
Tradeoff Matrix
Transnistria Status
Demilitarized Autonomous
Constitutional & Gagauzia Autonomy
Special Autonomy
Economic & Currency Harmonization
Phased Leu Peg
NATO & Security Architecture
Art. 5 Extension
Energy Interconnection
Full Sync
Comparative Regional Matrix • Click territories to inspect
Romania Core (70% Union Support)
Moldova Right Bank (~40% Base Support)
Transnistria (Unrecognized/Russian Garrison)
Autonomous Gagauzia (Pro-Neutrality/Gagauz Yeri)
Feasibility Index
64%
Moderate Viability
Geopolitical Friction
58 / 100
Regional Tension
Estimated Timeline
6 - 8 Yrs
Harmonization Phase
Fiscal Convergence
€3.4B / yr
Subsidy Required
Referendum Polling Equilibrium
Source: 70% Romania vs ~40% Moldova baseline
Moldova Public Support: 42%
Romania Public Support: 70%
MD Support 42%
Current policy scenario increases Moldovan support by +2% from 40% baseline due to EU acquis alignment, but remains below the 50% referendum approval threshold.
Comparative Balance Sheet & Union Aggregate
Union Feasible
| Metric / Domain | Romania (Current) | Moldova (Current) | Combined State (Modeled) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Population | 19.05 M | 2.51 M | 21.56 M |
| Nominal GDP | $350.4 B | $16.5 B | $366.9 B |
| GDP Per Capita | $18,400 | $6,600 | $17,017 (-7.5% RO avg) |
| Defense Spending | $8.4 B (2.4% GDP) | $105 M (0.6% GDP) | $8.8 B (NATO Standard) |
| Energy Interconnect | ENTSO-E Synchronized | Isaccea-Vulcănești line | 100% Redundant Synced |
Live Policy Synthesis & Geopolitical Dossier
Real-time simulation audit