Music Catalog Halo & Chart Re-Entry Simulator

Catalog & Release Dials

New Release Weekly Streams 42.5 M

Catalog Spillover Rate 14.0 %

Catalog Baseline Streams 8.2 M

Decay Half-Life (Days) 11 Days

AEU Consumption Mix

Premium Streams Ratio 70 %

Track Sales (TEA) / Wk 1,200

Physical Album Sales / Wk 800

Billboard 200 Status

RE-ENTRY CONFIRMED

Peak Predicted Rank

#142

Lifted Catalog AEU

12,750

Chart Duration

3 Wks

8-Week Billboard 200 & Streaming AEU Trajectory Positions by Ariana Grande

Formula Provenance & Formula: Lifted Weekly Streams = Baseline + (New Release Streams × Spillover %). AEU = (Premium Streams / 1,500) + (Ad-Supported Streams / 3,750) + (Track Sales / 10) + Pure Sales. Current re-entry threshold requires ≥ 9,200 AEU (~#200 Rank cutoff).