Frontier Domains
5 Tracked
Physics & Cost Levers
1.25x
1.00x
1.10x
1.20x
Forecast Item
Optimus Labor Sub.
TRL 4 (Lab Demo)
Stated Target
2029
Public Projection
Simulated Arrival
2034
+5.2 yrs delay
Probability Band
32% '30 | 78% '38
Physical Constraints
Realization Probability & Pacing Trajectory
Public Target
Empirical Pacing
90% Conf. Fan
Constraint Pacing Decomposition (Years of Pacing Drag)
Active Bottleneck Analysis
Grounded
Generated Dossier Briefing