Austin Court Impact & Zone Efficiency
Paint Dominance: 8 FGM in Paint Field Goal Made (9)
Field Goal Miss (6)
Rebound Zone (13)
Shakira Austin shot 60.0% (9-15 FG), generating 18 of her 27 points directly inside the paint key. Her offensive rebounding (5 O-REB) generated 8 second-chance points during Washington's Q3/Q4 rally.
Win Probability & Deficit Scrubber
Q4 - 0:00 Final
Filter Game Flow by Quarter:
Full Game Timeline
Down 48-28 with 2:15 left in Q2 (Win Prob: 4.2%), Washington executed a 32-11 run across Q3 & Q4. Austin's back-to-back paint baskets at 4:12 Q4 gave Mystics their first lead.
Counterfactual Comeback Simulator & Sensitivity
Adjust Austin's efficiency to model alternate win probability trajectories
Simulated Model Output: At 60.0% FG and 13 REB, Mystics Peak Win Probability reached 92.4% in Q4.
Historical Context: Mystics' 5-Game Winning Streak
First 5-Game Streak since 2019 Championship SeasonWashington's 20-point deficit recovery marks their largest comeback win of the season. Austin's 27 PTS and 13 REB anchor an active 5-game streak where she has averaged 22.4 PTS and 10.8 REB.
Game 1 vs CON
W 78-72
18 PTS | 9 REB
Game 2 @ CHI
W 84-79
21 PTS | 11 REB
Game 3 vs LVA
W 89-85
24 PTS | 8 REB
Game 4 @ IND
W 81-76
22 PTS | 12 REB
Game 5 vs DAL
W 83-78
27 PTS | 13 REB