Nando MLB Clutch & Stat Explorer

Real-time trajectory physics, Statcast barrel calibration, and high-leverage clutch win probability analysis for Fernando Tatis Jr. (“Nando”).

Statcast 2D Trajectory & Field Overlay PETCO PARK • HIGH LEVERAGE

Projected Distance
428 FT

Barrel Probability
92.4 %

Win Prob Added (WPA)

+18.5 %

Apex Height & Hang Time

104 FT / 5.2s

Verified Clutch Home Run Profile

Sweet-spot contact trajectory with guaranteed clearing of left-center wall (390 ft).

Impact & Matchup Modeler Nando #23 SD

Exit Velocity (EV) 112.4 MPH

80.0 mph (Soft) 100 mph (Hard-hit) 120.0 mph (Elite)

Launch Angle (LA) 28°

0° (Grounder) 25°-32° (Home Run Sweet Spot) 50° (Pop-up)

Pitch Velocity 96.5 MPH

80 mph (Offspeed) 95 mph (Heat) 104 mph (Flame)

Pitch Classification

Clutch Rating Factor 94.2 / 100

50.0 (Average) 80.0 (High Pressure) 99.0 (Maximum Leverage)

FERNANDO TATIS JR. • STATCARD SNAPSHOT

SAN DIEGO PADRES • @MLBONFOX BROADCAST HIGHLIGHT

Exit Velocity

112.4 mph

Launch Angle

28°

Projected Distance

428 ft

Barrel Probability

92.4%

Win Prob Added

+18.5%

Profile Status

Verified Clutch Home Run

Tatis Jr. Statcast Benchmark Comparison

Metric Tier	Nando Peak	MLB 90th %	Status
Max Exit Velocity	117.5 MPH	111.8 MPH	Top 1%
Sweet Spot %	38.4%	35.2%	Elite
Hard-Hit % (>95 mph)	54.6%	46.1%	97th %
Clutch Late-Inning WPA	+2.84	+1.10	High Leverage

Physics & Barrel Modeling Rationale

Statcast classifies a Barrel as a batted ball with the combination of exit velocity and launch angle that leads to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.

At 112.4 MPH with a 28° launch angle, Fernando Tatis Jr. reaches a verified 92.4% barrel probability and 428 FT projected flight, generating an estimated +18.5% win probability added in high-leverage late innings.